CStation Offers Frances Updates
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Monday 8 A.M.

The National Hurricane Center Report estimated that Frances would move of of the Gulf of Mexico and hit land over the central portion of the panhandle sometime this evening. Frances remains a large tropical cyclone with tropical storm force winds extending outward up to 200 miles for its center.

Hurricane Alley Map.

Sunday 11 P.M.

The National Hurricane Center Report says now tropical storm Frances has moved offshore about 25 miles north-north west of Tampa moving about 8 MPH. There is a chance Frances may reform into hurricane strength before it hits the Florida peninsula. Tropical force winds extend outward 200 miles from the center of the storm.

Hurricane Alley Map.

Sunday 7 P.M.

The National Hurricane Center 7 P.M. Report says Frances has been downgraded from hurricane to tropical storm status. The storm's center is now located about 20 miles east of Tampa moving about 10 MPH. Isolated Tornadoes are possible over portions of central and north Florida today. See Star Banner and Sun stories on CStation's Main Street Station page for more local information.

Hurricane Alley Map.


Sunday 8 A.M.

The National Hurricane Center  7 A.M. Report places the center of Frances just north east of Lake Okeechobee about 125 miles east-southeast of Tampa. The continues west on a west-northwest track at about 8 MPH. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95 MPH with some stronger gusts.

Hurricane Alley Map.

Saturday 8:30 P.M.

As of 8 P.M. the National Hurricane Center  Report said the large eye of Frances was still located 50 miles off shore from Palm Beach as the storm continued a slow 5 MPH trek over Florida. Over 2 million people are reportedly already without power in the state.

Hurricane Alley Map.

Saturday 2 P.M.

Fraces us taking its time now traveling about 5 MPH per hour and still 70 miles offshore from Palm Springs according to the National Hurricane Center's 2 P.M. Report. The worst part of the storm is now expected to hit shore late tonight or early tomorrow morning.

Hurricane Alley Map.

Saturday 11 A.M.

The National Hurricane Center Report now places  the center of Frances about 80 offshore of Palm Beach moving about about 5 MPH towards the Florida coast. Forecast continue as a real possibility for much of Florida, including our area, as the storm passes over the state. The NHC reports says:

FRANCES HAS BEEN DRIFTING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 5 MPH...  7 KM/HR TODAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

 Hurricane Alley Map.

Saturday 10 A.M.

Most recent reports from the National Hurricane Center 8 A.M. Report and 5 A.M. Discussion report indicate that Francis is now on a path that will move across Florida towards the Tampa area. The storm is projected to hit land at no more than a category 2 or 3 Hurricane. Still powerful enough to cause wind and flood damage to the Gainesville and Ocala area. Winds can be expected between 40 and 60 MPH and heavy rain beginning Sunday. The storm is still weakening but could pick up strength as it moves closer to the Florida east coast. Forecast could still change. Hurricane Alley Map.

Friday 5 P.M.

The National Hurricane Center 5 P.M. Frances Report indicated the storm is now located about 200 miles east-southeast of the Florida Lower east coast moving west-westnorthwest towards Florida at 8-13 miles an hour. Outer squalls of the hurricane are moving over the Florida east coast. Maximum sustained winds are reported at 115 MPH.

Friday 11 A.M.

The National Hurricane Center Frances 11 A.M. Discussion report has indicated the storm is continuing to weaken. The NHC Discussion report says in part:

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE INNER CORE OR EYEWALL OF FRANCES HAS DETERIORATED SINCE YESTERDAY AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 959 MB. IN ADDITION...SOME UPPER-LEVEL SOUTH-WESTERLY WINDS ARE CURRENTLY CREATING SOME SHEAR OVER THE HURRICANE DISRUPTING THE CLOUD PATTERN. THIS MEANS THAT THE HURRICANE HAS WEAKENED AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 100 KNOTS.

The report also notices that Frances should still be considered a very dangerous storm and could strengthen again before it reaches Florida landfall about 36 hours from now.

The projected path of the storm has been adjusted to again be headed toward the Ocala and Gainesville area. However, it now appears Frances may be greatly weakened if current patterns hold. Wind and rain damage are still very possible in the area.
 

Friday 9:30 A.M.

Gainesville And Ocala area residents got some temporary good news from today's 8 A.M. National Hurricane Center update on Frances. The storm, now about 240 miles east, south-east of the lower east Florida coast in the Bahamas, traveling at a slower pace of eight to 15 miles per hour, has weakened to a strong category 3 hurricane. Frances could strengthen itself back to a category 4 storm by the time it hits the Florida coast. The Storm should be around our area sometime Sunday morning.

In today's edition the Ocala Star Banner reports:

"Earlier Thursday, projected paths curved farther north and the National Hurricane Center predicted that winds in excess of 90 mph would be felt throughout most of Marion County.

But their latest model projected that Marion County would get winds between 40 and 74 mph. That's good news for Marion County, but a bigger headache for officials in Lake and Sumter counties, with expected hurricane-force winds in excess of 75 mph
."

The Associated Press reported this morning that Francis, with its imposing size -- the cloud cover was about as big as the state of Texas --  had the potential to ravage the state with its slow movement. Forecasters said the slower the storm moves across the ocean, the longer its winds and rain could linger, increasing the possibility of serious damage.

Of course, the actual path of Frances could still change from predicted patterns.


 

 

Thursday 8:30 P.M.

The National Hurricane Center has changed predictions for Francis now reporting the worst of the storm will cut across Florida just south of the Gainesville and Ocala area.  All former predictions showed Francis coming through our area. Residents should remember that the prediction reports could change again.

The Center reports that: "It is also important to realize tropical cyclones are not a point. Their effects can span many hundreds of miles from the center. "

The size of Frances suggests the Gainesville and Ocala area should expect damage and weather effects from the storm.

Thursday 2:15 P.M.

 Communication Station, www.cstation, will be offering updates on local and national news about hurricane Frances as long as our electricity holds out.

 In addition to local area news sites like The Gainesville Sun and Ocala Star Banner, CStation will also be pulling information links from CNN, USA Today, both the GRU and Progress Energy utility companies, and other sources on an updated basis as long as the storm remains a threat to our area, or we have power for such updates. Even if we should lose power at CStation’s office, the Web site and its links will remain operative to connect with major information sources themselves.

CStation strongly urges Gainesville and Ocala area residents to take the threat of this category 4 Hurricane seriously. (Category 4 is the second strongest type of storm possible.) While no prediction can be made with complete certainty, all current predictions to Frances' path show the storm hitting our area.

Residents are advised to make preparations for their safety and our area could be without power for several days to three weeks. People not living in regular houses will be particularly in danger. As of Wednesday afternoon many stores were selling out of basic supplies like water and canned food.

Schools and most public activities have been cancelled for Friday.